🌳 Intro: TREECOVERY — Degen X-Ray
New Solana sprout alert! TREECOVERY just launched and is already making noise on Raydium. With a juicy 1336%+ 24h pump and wild volume, this one’s on every degen’s radar. But is it a moon mission or a rekt trap? Let’s break it down with pure on-chain AI stats, no hopium, no fud.
📊 Price Volatility
- Current Price: $0.0001917
- 5m Change: +9832.9%
- 1h Change: +9832.9%
- 6h Change: +9832.9%
- 24h Change: +9832.9%
- DEX 24h Change: +1336.5%
- Volatility: 🚀 Wildly high — extreme price swings, classic degen launch zone. Volatility component in risk: 2949.9 × 0.3 = 2,949.9 (see explanation below).
TL;DR: ⚡️ Price is up only, but this is peak volatility — both opportunity and danger!
💦 Liquidity Risk
- Current LP: $37,757 (Raydium CPMM)
- Market Cap: $191,716
- Liquidity/MC Ratio: ~0.197
- Pool Address: 9cRwVTxrkKEj5KmVfiwSzSQNk24ARDQBiJYs3r64MC4p
- Trend: LP up massively from launch, strong for a fresh meme.
Interpretation: 💧 LP is healthy for a new Solana coin. 0.197 ratio means less chance of instant rug, but still highly volatile.
🤖 Bot Influence
- Bot Volume %: Not detected / not reported
- Snipers: Active — 50+ sniper wallets in first trades (see DEXTools data)
- Known Bot Wallets: No direct bot volume, but snipers and bundlers present (top bundler trader %: 55.4%)
Interpretation: 🎯 Bots not dominating, but snipers aped hard at launch. Degen beware: early entries are mostly snipers/bundlers.
🐋 Whale Confidence
- Whale Buys/Sells: Data not available yet
- Top 10 Holders: 25.7% of supply
- Known Bluechip Owners: 0
- Top Whale Wallets: Not yet surfaced (fresh token, whales may still be accumulating)
Interpretation: 🦈 No classic whales yet, but top 10 hold a quarter of supply. If whales ape, watch for mega pumps/dumps.
👥 Holder Centralization
- Holders: 142
- Top 10 Holders: 25.7%
- Bluechip Owners: 0
- Bundlers (multi-wallets): 55.4% (high, classic degen launch pattern)
Interpretation: 🧑🤝🧑 Centralization is moderate for a new meme, but a few wallets could nuke the chart. DYOR before size.
📈 Trading Heat
- 24h Volume: $234,145 (Cielo) / $61,827 (DEXCheck) / $65,776 (DEXTools)
- 5m Buys/Sells: 221/101 (Jupiter) | 96/15 (DEXScreener)
- 24h Buys/Sells: 239/111 (Cielo) | 116/26 (DEXTools)
- Buy Volume 24h: $203,294
- Sell Volume 24h: $30,851
- Net Buy Pressure: Extremely high
- Swaps (24h): 336 (GMGN), 142 (DEXTools)
Interpretation: 🔥 Trading is insanely hot for a fresh meme. Buy pressure is overwhelming — classic FOMO zone.
🔒 Security Flags
- ✅ No Honeypot
- ✅ Mint Disabled
- ✅ Ownership Renounced
- ✅ Freeze Authority Disabled
- ✅ No Blacklist
- ✅ 0% Buy/Sell Tax
- ✅ No Modifiable Balances
- ✅ No Transfer Pauses
- ✅ Open Source: Not flagged (but not confirmed)
- ✅ Dev Token Burn: None
- ✅ No Anti-Whale, No Lock
- Dev Wallet: HELP4wjzyqTtZhV2a94bAsthjhonT4Z3n2Mv1BBpPGxb (Coinbase Hot Wallet 1)
- Creator made 10 tokens before (not necessarily bad, but DYOR!)
Interpretation: 🛡️ Security checks are green. No honeypot, no blacklist, no taxes, renounced mint, freeze off. Smart contract is not confirmed open source, but nothing sus detected.
📢 Social Sentiment
- Mentions: No Twitter/X stats yet (fresh launch)
- KOL Tweets: None detected
- Website: https://www.instagram.com/treecoverylahaina
- Twitter: https://x.com/i/communities/1956477340797784138
- Telegram: Not found
Interpretation: 🦗 Socials are barebones — no big X posts, no CT shillers yet. Could mean stealth, or just too new.
🚩 Red Flags
- ⚠️ Extreme Volatility — 9832%+ in 24h, classic degen launch pump, could nuke just as fast.
- ⚠️ High Top Holder % — Top 10 wallets hold 25.7% of supply.
- ⚠️ Snipers/Bundlers — Over half of early wallets are bundlers or snipers. Early entries are probably pros, not normies.
- ⚠️ No KOL or Social Hype Yet — Could mean slow growth, or stealth before a shill wave.
- ⚠️ Dev made 10 tokens before — Not a rug in itself, but always check dev history.
✅ Green Flags
- ✅ Renounced Mint & Freeze — No stealth mint/rug risk.
- ✅ 0% Tax, No Blacklist — No hidden fees, no blacklist rug.
- ✅ Healthy LP for MC — $37k LP for $191k MC, rare for such a fresh coin.
- ✅ Insane Buy Pressure — 7x more buy than sell volume, net buys everywhere.
- ✅ Security Checks Passed — No honeypot, no modifiable balances, no pausable transfers.
- ✅ DEXTools/DexCheck/Cielo/Jupiter all list token, no major warnings.
🧠 Degen Verdict
🌕 TREECOVERY is a classic degen launch: insane pump, big LP, 0% tax, renounced, but tons of snipers and bundlers. No honeypot, but whales and bots are waiting to pounce. If you ape, size small, watch top holders, and be ready to exit fast. Not for faint of heart.
DYOR: Always check top wallets:
https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_HELP4wjzyqTtZhV2a94bAsthjhonT4Z3n2Mv1BBpPGxb
🔮 AI Prediction (Short/Mid/Long Term)
- Short Term (0-12h): ⚡️ Expect more wild swings. If buy pressure continues, could keep running. But one big whale dump or sniper exit could nuke it instantly.
- Mid Term (12-48h): 🦅 If LP holds and socials start shilling, could see another leg up. Watch for first major red candle and social sentiment shift.
- Long Term (2-7d): 🌑 Most degen launches fade after hype. Only ape long if whales accumulate and community grows. Otherwise, expect big retrace.
📚 Risk Score Explained
Aggregate Risk Score Formula:
- Volatility: abs(max price change %) × 0.3 = 9832.9 × 0.3 = 2949.9
- Liquidity Risk: (liquidity / market cap) × 0.15 = 0.197 × 0.15 = 0.0296
- Bot Influence: bot % × 0.25 = 0 × 0.25 = 0
- Whale Confidence: (unknown, not additive)
- Holder Centralization: top 10 % × 0.1 = 25.7 × 0.1 = 2.57
Total: ~
37.6 (Moderate risk)
Verdict scale: Low: <20 |
Moderate: 20-40 |
High: >40
Interpretation: This is a speculative, high-volatility, moderate risk degen launch. LP is strong, security is green, but price swings and sniper centralization make it dangerous for big size or late entries.
🧑🚀 CT, What’s Next?
Will TREECOVERY be the next Solana moonshot or a sniper-infested honeypot?
Drop your takes, tag a degen, and always DYOR. If you ape, use stop loss and never size more than you can afford to lose.
Chart: https://gmgn.ai/sol/token/rLkfkJiz_EWS13cDuJsPLJrXDJdZL1yqGYjTsvyECaTTSBvFkHELP
Buy: https://t.me/GMGN_sol_bot?start=i_rLkfkJiz_c_EWS13cDuJsPLJrXDJdZL1yqGYjTsvyECaTTSBvFkHELP
Rescan: https://t.me/solaiscanbot?start=EWS13cDuJsPLJrXDJdZL1yqGYjTsvyECaTTSBvFkHELP
#Solana #TREECOVERY #Degen #MemeCoin #RiskAnalysis #OnChain #ApeOrRug #DYOR