Solarcaskets (SOLAR) – Full Degen X Breakdown

🧬 Intro

Solarcaskets (SOLAR) just dropped on Solana via Pump.fun and migrated to PumpSwap. It's a hybrid protocol using the Helios400 token standard and SPL-to-NFT conversion mechanics. The vibes are heavy degen: fresh launch, snipers in, liquidity solid, and a dev wallet that's already burned 25% of supply. Let's get into the real alpha and risk on this one. DYOR and buckle up.

📈 Price Volatility

• 5m: +484.93% (Cielo), +87.96% (Jupiter/Dexscreener)
• 1h: +484.93% (Cielo), +87.96% (Jupiter/Dexscreener)
• 6h: +484.93% (Cielo), +87.96% (Jupiter/Dexscreener)
• 24h: +484.93% (Cielo), +87.96% (Jupiter/Dexscreener)
• DexCheck 24h: -10.32%
• Volatility (5m-24h): 🚨 Extremely high – huge swings, classic degen launch chart.

Price action is pure rollercoaster – early pumps, then a dip, now ranging. If you're not comfy with 50-500% swings, this ain't your casket.

💧 Liquidity Risk

• PumpSwap Pool: ~$36,394 (DexCheck), $33k–$43k (multi-source)
• LP Ratio (Liquidity/MC): ~0.71 (high for meme launch)
• DEXs: PumpSwap, Pumpfun, Jupiter, DEXTools
• Liquidity Trend: Slightly up since launch, no major drains yet.

LP is solid for a fresh meme. No locks, but mint/freeze renounced. Still, always watch for stealth pulls.

🤖 Bot/Organic Influence

• Snipers: 13+ wallets in first block (see below)
• Top Bundler Traders: 21.47%
• Entrapment Traders: 0.9%
• Bot Degen: 0% (statistically low, but snipers present)
• Organic Score: Low (per Jupiter)

Launch was sniped hard. 21% of trading volume by bundlers. If you're not first, you're last. Bots will farm you if you don't know what you're doing.

🐳 Whale Confidence & Holder Centralization

• Total Holders: 186
• Top 10 Holders: 42.57% (very high)
• Dev Wallet: 25% at launch, 20% burned (now 5%+ live)
• Largest Seller: ASSQ...HPNY – 10.4M sold ($1.3k)
• Top Snipers:
  8Fiu...saF8
  start...JGo
  Cbhv...muB4
  CdGw...Rk6
  BnnN...wcc3
  J1Kj...x4e
  BoBo...teE
  BoBo...KjK
  CTRb...K4r
  B27v...RefC8
  2Pcc...Z67x
  9kuZ...uCsf
  3yDU...pPJM
  
  (All DYOR: https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_)

Holder base is ultra-concentrated. Early whales and snipers control the game. If you ape, you're playing against the best.

📊 Trading Heat

• Volume (24h): $91,138 (Cielo) / $77,571 (DexCheck) / $55,894 (Dexscreener)
• Buys/Sells (24h): 530 buys vs 386 sells (Cielo), 813 swaps (GMGN)
• Buy Volume (24h): $64,679
• Sell Volume (24h): $26,458
• Net Buyers: +197 (Jupiter)
• Swaps (5m): 364 (GMGN), 594 (DexTools)

Trading is hot, with more buys than sells and net positive flow. But with high bot/sniper presence, expect sudden reversals.

📢 Social Sentiment

• Website: https://solarcaskets.io/
• Twitter: https://x.com/solar_caskets
• Telegram: Not listed
• KOLs: No major KOL tweets yet
• Mentions: No tracked stats

Early days. Socials are up, but no viral traction or big KOL calls yet. That can change in hours. Monitor for sudden hype spikes.

🛡️ Security Flags

• ✅ Mint Authority Renounced
• ✅ Freeze Authority Renounced
• ✅ No Blacklist
• ✅ Not a Honeypot
• ✅ 0% Buy/Sell Tax
• ❌ Not open source (unknown)
• ❌ No LP lock (but renounced, so less risk)
• ✅ Dev burned 20% of supply
• ✅ No blacklist or sell restrictions detected

Security posture is above average for a meme. No honeypot, no blacklist, renounced, and major supply burned. Still, code is not open source and LP is not locked – always be ready for stealth moves.

🚩 Red Flags

• Top 10 holders own 42.57% – high centralization risk
• 13+ snipers in first block
• Organic score is low (Jupiter)
• No LP lock
• Not open source
• Dev wallet still holds 5%+ (after burn)

✅ Green Flags

• Mint & Freeze authority renounced
• Dev burned 20% supply
• 0% tax, no blacklist or sell restrictions
• Liquidity is solid for a new meme
• Trading volume is strong, net buyers positive
• Security flags mostly green
• Website and Twitter live

⚖️ Degen Verdict

• 🚨 Risk Score: ~46.2 (see below for formula)
• Price volatility is nuclear. Big upside, but you can get rekt fast.
• Liquidity is robust, but not locked. Mint/freeze renounced offsets some risk.
• Snipers and whales dominate early. If you're late, you're exit liquidity.
• Security is above average for a meme, but not open source. No major red flags, but always DYOR.
• Social traction is low – could moon if CT picks it up, or fade if not.

Play this only if you can handle the heat. Never risk what you can't lose.

🤖 AI Prediction

• Short Term (0-24h): Volatility max, expect wild swings, possible 2x or -80% in hours. Good for snipers and swing traders.
• Mid Term (2-7d): If social traction picks up, possible moon. If not, whales will dump and price could fade hard.
• Long Term (1w+): Only survives if community forms and LP remains. Centralization risk remains high.

CT is watching. If you see KOLs ape in, that's your signal. If not, don't get trapped in the casket.

🔍 Top Wallets & Snipers

• Largest Seller (dev team trade): ASSQvb9v...3HPNY sold 10.4M ($1,303) – DYOR
• Top Snipers:
  8Fiu...saF8
  start...JGo
  Cbhv...muB4
  CdGw...Rk6
  BnnN...wcc3
  J1Kj...x4e
  BoBo...teE
  BoBo...KjK
  CTRb...K4r
  B27v...RefC8
  2Pcc...Z67x
  9kuZ...uCsf
  3yDU...pPJM
  
• See all: https://gmgn.ai/sol/token/rLkfkJiz_fUGa7swLiTr8RwsZChfPXEX15N6H3WseEDPSDKVpump

📚 Risk Score Explained

• Volatility: Highest price change across 5m/1h/6h/24h (abs) × 0.3
• Liquidity/MC: (liquidity / market cap) × 0.15
• Bot Influence: Top bundler/entrapment % × 0.25
• Whale Confidence: (proxy, as whale buy/sell data is sparse, set to 1 for high risk)
• Holder Centralization: Top 10 holders % × 0.1

Verdict: High/Speculative Risk (>40). Only for true degens. If you ape, set stops and use small size.