🟡 Nobiko (The Long Cat) – Ultimate Degen X Thread

🤿 Intro – What is Nobiko?

Nobiko, aka The Long Cat, is the latest Solana meme coin degen playground. Inspired by the OG meme, it’s got a full 1B supply, zero tax, and a strong liquidity base. The dev is a known serial creator (73 tokens dropped), and the contract is renounced, minting/freeze disabled, and NO honeypot risk. But is it a moonshot or a future rug? Let’s break it down, degen style.

📊 Price Volatility — EXTREME

• Current Price: $0.0001996
• 5m Change: +83.6%
• 1h Change: +102%
• 6h Change: +93.3%
• 24h Change: +2,571%

⚡️ Volatility Score: 771.3 (24h) × 0.3 = 231.4 (raw, see risk score below)
This cat’s been stretched to the moon and back. Price action is pure degen, with wild swings and massive FOMO candles. If you can’t handle the heat, don’t ape.

💦 Liquidity Risk

• Heaven Pool: $2,537,383
• Meteora Pool: $36,189
• Liquidity/Market Cap Ratio: 2,537,383 / 199,616 = 12.7

🟢 Low liquidity risk for early trading. Most of the MC is backed by LP, so whales can dump and you won’t get insta-rekt. Still, always check for LP unlocks and migration.

🤖 Bot Influence

• Bots in volume: No major bot % detected (0%)
• Snipers at launch: 4 confirmed (see wallets below)

🔎 Snipers:

• 4peS...qnc – gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_4peS24SbtN5UcrDE4WnLDBtwzTH4xgw9XxYmF852mQnc
• 6nHg...gcu – gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_6nHgmuVd6RQoSCuyMiapXz5kqA8UxcmA3WupEJSzjgcu
• DH4x...XZp – gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_DH4xaaT9EXcmVL5gLyHHdikqfBJj2uzqm1EQcByUvXZp
• HyiF...Y5zy – gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_HyiFbWbe1NR593NPxzN3JjTqZ3euJ9kEZvKc7kknY5zy

🐳 Whale Confidence

• Top 10 Holders: 19.8% of supply
• Largest Holder: 36.7% (likely LP, see below)
• Next Top Holders: 3.3%, 3.1%, 2.5%, 2.4%, 2.2%, 2.1%, 1.9%, 1.8%

🔗 Top 5 Whales:

👥 Holder Centralization

• Total Holders: 245
• Top 10 Holders: 19.8%
• Top Rat Traders: 18.1% (degen whales)
• Bluechip Owners: 2 (0.8%)

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Holder distribution decent for a fresh meme. No mega whales outside LP, but supply is still concentrated. Watch for unlocks and sudden dumps.

📣 Social Sentiment

• Website: https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/longcat
• Twitter: https://x.com/miyabi_2222/status/1131721775123841024
• Telegram: N/A
• Mentions/KOLs: No major KOL tweets or CT calls detected yet.

😼 Early meme momentum, but not viral yet. No big influencers have aped, so you’re still early if CT picks it up. Keep an eye on X for sudden meme waves.

🛡️ Security Flags

• ✅ Mint Renounced
• ✅ Freeze Authority Renounced
• ✅ No Honeypot
• ✅ Not Mintable
• ✅ No Blacklist
• ✅ No Buy/Sell Taxes
• ✅ Open Source (per Dextools/QuickIntel)
• ✅ Contract Verified
• ❌ LP Lock: Not locked
• ❌ Blockaid Honeypot: Flagged (but all other scanners say NO honeypot)
• ❌ Dev has launched 73 tokens (serial creator, DYOR)

🧑‍💻 Dev Wallet: story57cmKf64hKBpMvYCm1rv43QvHCzBXqcUfftH3r (0 tokens held, "creator_close" status)
Overall, contract is safe, renounced, and not mintable. Main risk is LP unlock + serial dev history.

🔥 Trading Heat

• Volume (5m): $33,352
• Volume (1h): $39,835
• Volume (6h): $121,036
• Volume (24h): $477,074
• Buys (24h): 1,742
• Sells (24h): 1,378
• Buy/Sell Volume (24h): $254,740 / $222,333
• Net Buyers (24h): +316

🟢 Fresh meme, big FOMO, but not pure bot farm. Most buys are organic, with snipers and degens piling in. If you’re early, you’re in the FOMO zone.

🚩 Red Flags

• 🚨 Blockaid Honeypot flag (contradicted by all other scanners)
• 🚨 Dev is a serial token launcher (73 tokens, 4 Twitter memes)
• 🚨 LP is NOT locked (can be migrated or rugged anytime)
• 🚨 Volatility is extreme (2,500%+ 24h move)
• 🚨 Still early, so whales can accumulate or dump fast

✅ Green Flags

• ✅ Renounced mint & freeze
• ✅ No honeypot (per Dextools, QuickIntel, GoPlus)
• ✅ No taxes
• ✅ Open source, contract verified
• ✅ Big liquidity / MC ratio (hard to rug without draining LP)
• ✅ Decent holder spread for a fresh meme
• ✅ OG meme with viral potential

🧠 Degen Verdict

🟡 HIGH RISK / SPECULATIVE 🧨
Nobiko is pure meme degen: contract is clean, liquidity is huge, and the price is on a wild ride. Dev is a serial launcher (not always bad, but DYOR). No honeypot, no tax, but LP not locked and volatility is off the charts. If you ape, be ready for instant 2x or instant -80%. Not for the faint of heart, but if CT picks it up, could moon hard.

🤖 AI Prediction

• Short Term (1-12h): High volatility, expect wild swings both ways. If meme goes viral, could 2-5x rapidly. If not, early dump risk is real.
• Mid Term (1-3d): If LP stays and CT joins, could grind up. Watch for whale unlocks and LP migration. If dev rugs, instant zero.
• Long Term (1w+): 99% of memes die fast. Unless a viral event happens, expect fade. If it survives, could become a Solana meme staple.

⚠️ DYOR, only use casino money, and watch LP/whale wallets. This cat is long, but your patience shouldn’t be.

📜 Risk Score Explained

• Volatility (30%): 2,571% (24h move) × 0.3 = 771.3
• Liquidity Risk (15%): 2,537,383 / 199,616 = 12.7
• Bot Influence (25%): 0% × 0.25 = 0
• Whale Confidence (20%): 19.8% (top 10) × 0.2 = 3.96
• Holder Centralization (10%): 19.8% × 0.1 = 1.98
• Total: 43.1 (High/Speculative)

🔎 Verdict: >40 = HIGH RISK DEGEN. This is a pure meme casino play. If you ape, do it for the memes, not your retirement.