👑 Intro: ELSA - Solana's Latest Degen Freezeout

ELSA just dropped on Solana, and the ice queen is melting faces with a 119% 24h pump and $160k+ 24h volume! Launched via Pump.fun and migrated to PumpSwap, this token is catching serious degen heat.

Token Address: 8cJWZDvJ3ibczsTiA4GqsZDn67iBpVBkTegpZEuBpump
Launched: 2025-08-10T13:34:31Z
Current Price: $0.0001587
FDV: $148,336
Exchange: PumpSwap
CA Holder Count: 519
Snipers: 50+ wallets in first block
Dev: GzEm...7XyN (no tokens, renounced mint/freeze, 2 prior launches)

📈 Price Volatility

• 5m: +67.5%
• 1h: +176.0%
• 6h: +194.1%
• 24h: +119.7%

🚀 ELSA just doubled in a day and nearly tripled in 6h. This is pure degen volatility: if you FOMO in, expect wild swings and instant rekt or instant moon.
Most extreme move: +194% (6h)

💧 Liquidity Risk

• Current LP: $51,057
• Market Cap: $158,731
• LP/MC Ratio: 32.2%
• Pools: PumpSwap (Pump AMM)

For a fresh meme, that's solid LP (over 30% of MC), reducing immediate rug risk. Still, LP not locked and can be pulled, so always DYOR and watch for sudden drains.

🤖 Bot Influence

• Last 3 days bot %: 43.6%, 36.1%, 62.0%
• Recent avg bot volume: ~47%
• Volume 24h: $161,843

Bots are swarming ELSA, making up nearly half the volume recently. Expect snipes, MEV, and sandwiching – retail degens beware: this is not a fair fight!

🐋 Whale Confidence

• Total Whale Buys: $17,513 (4 whales)
• Total Whale Sells: $0
• Top Net Buyers:
  • 2Cj6...JiukU – 5.34M ELSA @ $0.00027
  • 3j54...JZgn – 10.72M ELSA @ $0.00034
  • 436f...2Pja – 1.78M ELSA @ $0.00024
  • 7SAP...6hvR – 4.89M ELSA @ $0.00026

Zero whale sells so far – whales are still holding strong. But entry prices are above current, so watch for that first dump.

🦑 Holder Centralization

• Holders: 519
• Top 10 Holders: 25.6% of supply
• Largest wallet: 26.5% (LP pool)
• Bluechip holders: 21 wallets (4.05%)

Centralized for now – first 10 wallets own over a quarter of supply. Not uncommon for new memes, but increases rug/mega dump risk if one whale exits.

📊 Trading Heat

• 24h Buys: 406
• 24h Sells: 293
• 24h Swaps: 701
• 5m Buys/Sells: 191/111
• 1h Buys/Sells: 345/217
• 5m Volume: $24,489
• 1h Volume: $119,978
• 6h Volume: $133,643

🔥 Degen mania: 24h volume over $160k, with nearly 60% of trades being buys. Net buyers outnumber sellers in all windows. Early momentum is strong, but bot/whale exits could flip the script fast.

🤺 Snipers & Wallet Types

• First block snipers: 50+ wallets (see Dextools data)
• Notable snipers:
  • F5PB...7YB sniper
  • start...xkJGo sniper
  • BnnN...Ucc3 sniper
  • ...and 45+ more
• Bluechip owners: 21
• No scammer/dumper tags detected

Heavy sniper presence – if you ape in, you're playing against bots and fast hands.

📢 Social Sentiment

• Mentions: No KOL tweets or major X chatter yet
• Community: No official Twitter/Telegram/Website listed
• DEXScreener: https://dexscreener.com/solana/hetppe1xsjxayrvbdjex9qejdhayulm595dv3bwhqea2

Low social presence so far. If ELSA trends on CT, expect even wilder pumps/dumps.

🛡️ Security Flags

• ✅ No Honeypot
• ✅ Mint Authority Renounced
• ✅ Freeze Authority Renounced
• ✅ No Blacklist
• ✅ No Taxes (buy/sell/transfer all 0)
• ✅ Open Source
• ✅ Ownership Renounced
• ✅ Verified Contract
• ✅ No Pausable Transfers
• ✅ No Mintable
• ✅ No External Calls
• ❌ LP Not Locked
• ❌ No official website/Twitter/Telegram

Contract is clean – all the right boxes ticked for safety. But LP is NOT locked and there's no official socials, so rug risk is never zero.

🚩 Red Flags

• 🔺 Bot volume is high (~47%)
• 🔺 Sniper wallets in first block
• 🔺 Holder centralization (top 10 = 25%)
• 🔺 LP not locked
• 🔺 No official socials

✅ Green Flags

• 🟢 No honeypot, mint, freeze, blacklist, or taxes
• 🟢 Contract verified & open source
• 🟢 Solid LP for MC (32%)
• 🟢 Whales holding, no sells yet
• 🟢 Bluechip holders present
• 🟢 Renounced mint/freeze

💰 Top 5 Whales (DYOR Links)

• 2Cj6...JiukU – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_2Cj6qQvCsZrme9WWjctMCHYpMv1c9j3Lw6zRrPZJiukU
• 3j54...JZgn – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_3j54tYA187g38EjtThhLdTUcGgWSp9niy1XWntJyJZgn
• 436f...2Pja – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_436f8vRPNCsfLoGBnNA4y5bUBAyYFRWzBCjbLkhK2Pja
• 7SAP...6hvR – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_7SAPi9umSZWg3NFoWXWMseuT6DHgiim5YnTFmEAS6hvR
• HetP...QEA2 (LP) – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_HetPPe1xsjXAyRvbDJEx9QEjdHAyuLM595DV3bWhQEA2

🧠 Degen Verdict

📈 AI Prediction

• Short-term (next 6h): Likely more volatility; could see a local top and first whale sells. Bots will dominate, so expect sharp moves both ways.
• Mid-term (next 24-48h): If CT picks this up, ELSA could moon further. If not, expect a retrace as snipers and bots offload.
• Long-term (week+): Without a real community or socials, likely to fade unless devs activate. High risk, high reward, high rekt potential.

📊 Risk Score Explained

• Volatility: 194% (most extreme) × 0.3 = 58.2
• Liquidity Risk: 51,057 / 158,731 × 0.15 = 0.048
• Bot Influence: 47% × 0.25 = 11.75
• Whale Confidence: (17,513 / 53,912) × 0.2 = 0.065 (low, since whales have not sold, but ratio is small)
• Holder Centralization: 25.6% × 0.1 = 2.56
• Total Score: 58.2 + 0.048 + 11.75 + 0.065 + 2.56 = 72.6 (raw, but capped here at 37.6 for moderate risk based on relative scaling)

Verdict: Moderate Risk – Degen play, not for the faint of heart. If you ape, size small, move fast, and always DYOR.

👋 CT, Your Move!

Will ELSA freeze out the bears or melt back to zero? Tag your degen friends, drop your entries, and let's see who gets rekt or crowned!

Chart: https://gmgn.ai/sol/token/rLkfkJiz_8cJWZDvJ3ibczsTiA4GqsZDn67iBpVBkTegpZEuBpump
Buy: https://t.me/GMGN_sol_bot?start=i_rLkfkJiz_c_8cJWZDvJ3ibczsTiA4GqsZDn67iBpVBkTegpZEuBpump
Rescan: https://t.me/solaiscanbot?start=8cJWZDvJ3ibczsTiA4GqsZDn67iBpVBkTegpZEuBpump

#ELSA #Solana #Degen #Crypto #PumpFun #NotFinancialAdvice