🧬 dognald (SOL) – Full Degen X/GMGN Analysis

🚀 Quick Degen TLDR

dognald just exploded onto Solana with a wild launch on Pump.fun. MC at ~$149K, LP $37K+, 545 holders and a fat 20% of supply in the top 10 wallets (whale alert!). Dev is renounced, no mint, no freeze, and 0 tokens left with creator. Volatility through the roof, volume is insane, and snipers hit this like it's 2021. No honeypot, no taxes, but centralization and degen risk are maxed. Let's ape into the numbers!

📊 Price Volatility

• Current Price: $0.0001489
• 5m/1h/6h/24h Change: +2092% (Cielo), +899% (Jupiter)
• DEXScreener: 5m -23.3%, 24h -23.3% (but Cielo/Jupiter show huge uptrend, likely new pool rotation)
• Volatility: Absolute price swings >2000% in first hour – pure casino. If you love rollercoasters, this is it.

💧 Liquidity Risk

• Current Liquidity: $37,275 (GMGN), $33,736 (PumpSwap), $27,357 (DEXScreener)
• MC/LP Ratio: ~4.0 (MC $148,912 / LP $37,275)
• Pools: PumpSwap (main), Pump.fun (launch)
• Liquidity Change (5m/1h): -4.7% (Jupiter), -13% (DEXScreener)
• Liquidity is decent for a fresh meme, but with MC running hot, big sells will nuke the chart. No LP lock detected (0% locked).

🤖 Bot Influence

• Bot Volume: No direct bot % data available.
• Sniper Activity: 90+ wallets sniped the launch block (see list below).
• Organic Score: Low (Jupiter)
• Interpretation: Bots and snipers likely dominated the first minutes. If you’re late, expect volatility and front-running.

🐳 Whale Confidence & Holder Centralization

• Top 10 Holders: ~20.1% of supply (GMGN/Jupiter)
• Total Holders: 545
• Bluechip Owners: 0
• Top Bundler Traders: 0.45% (GMGN)
• Interpretation: Heavy whale concentration. They can nuke or moon the chart at will. No bluechip whales yet.

📈 Trading Heat

• 24h Volume: $1,325,900 (Cielo, massive for a new Solana meme)
• 5m/1h/6h/24h Volume: All $1.32M+ (Cielo, likely all-time since launch)
• Buy/Sell Volume (24h): $783,987 / $541,913
• Buys/Sells (24h): 1,866 / 1,391
• Unique Buyers/Sellers: 945 / 546
• Swaps (24h): 1,855 (GMGN)
• Interpretation: Off-the-charts degen heat. More buys than sells, but tons of churn. If you’re trading, expect slippage and price gaps.

📢 Social Sentiment & KOLs

• Mentions/Stats: No Twitter/X mention stats or KOL tweets detected yet.
• Organic Score: Low (Jupiter)
• Interpretation: No viral push yet. Early, but if CT picks this up, FOMO could go parabolic.

🔒 Security Flags & Dev Status

• Renounced Mint: ✅ Yes
• Renounced Freeze: ✅ Yes
• Mintable: ✅ No
• Blacklisted: ✅ No
• Honeypot: ✅ No
• Taxes: ✅ 0% buy, 0% sell
• Open Source: ❌ Unknown
• LP Locked: ❌ No (0% locked)
• Dev Address: bwam...SXa (0 tokens, creator_close status)
• Dev Token Creations: 11,986 (high, but typical for pump.fun)
• Other: No bluechip owners, no degen call signals yet.

🚩 Red Flags

• High holder centralization (top 10 = 20%+)
• LP not locked (0%) – dev can pull LP
• Sniper/bot heavy launch
• Dev has created 11,986 tokens (serial pump.fun dev)
• No website, Twitter, or Telegram listed
• Low organic score, no social traction yet
• Unknown open source status

✅ Green Flags

• Renounced mint & freeze (can't rug by minting)
• 0% taxes, no honeypot, no blacklist
• Insane volume and trading heat
• Fair launch, no dev tokens
• Multiple pools, solid LP for a meme
• If CT discovers, could moon

🐋 Top Sniper Wallets (DYOR)

• start...xJGo
• 2Pcc...z67x
• CTRb...gK4r
• B27v...eC8
• 8dYV...uyyz
• ... and 80+ more

🧠 Degen Verdict & AI Prediction

• Short-Term (Next 24h): Extreme volatility, high chance of both mega pumps and brutal dumps. If CT picks up, could 2x-5x, but snipers and whales may nuke at any moment. Not for the faint of heart.
• Mid-Term (Next 3-7d): Needs social traction. If no viral push, likely slow bleed as early entrants take profit. If memes or KOLs jump in, could see another run.
• Long-Term (1mo+): Unless community forms and LP is locked, odds of survival are low. Could become a microcap casino chart or fade out entirely.

Playbook: If you ape, size small, set targets, and watch the whales. DYOR, don't get rekt!

📚 Risk Score Explained

• Volatility: 2092% price swings × 0.3 = 627.6
• Liquidity Risk: LP/MC = 0.25 × 0.15 = 0.0375
• Bot Influence: No bot % data, so 0
• Whale Confidence: No whale buy/sell data, so 0
• Holder Centralization: 20.1% × 0.1 = 2.01
• Aggregate Score: ~629 (capped at 62.3 for scale) → Verdict: High/Speculative
• Interpretation: Anything above 40 is casino degen. This is as high as it gets.