🟡 COMMUNEOS (Solana) – Degen X Risk/Alpha Thread

🚀 Intro: What’s $COMMUNEOS?

COMMUNEOS just dropped on Solana via Pump.fun and is already making noise in the degen trenches. With a full 1B supply, liquidity over $19K, and a spicy holder count, this one’s got the early moon/FOMO vibes. But is it a pump, a dump, or the next cult memecoin? Deep dive below for the full risk, alpha, and sniper breakdown – copy-paste for your CT crew!

📈 Price Volatility

• Latest Price: ~$0.0000265 (varies by source/pool)
• 5m/1h/6h/24h Price Change: +104.6% (Jupiter), +279% (Cielo), -36.2% (DexCheck)
• Extreme 5m swing: +104.6% (Jupiter), but also reports of -49% on some pools (Dextools)
• Volatility Score: 31.4 (abs(104.6%) * 0.3)
• Recent high/low: $0.000143 (max), $0.000031 (min)

⚡ Degen take: Wild swings – early pumpers, snipers, and momentum chasers are in control. Not for the faint of heart. Expect rekt candles and moon wicks.

💧 Liquidity Risk

• Current Liquidity: ~$19,800 (GMGN main pool), up to $34K (Dexscreener alt pool)
• Market Cap: ~$26,000 (Cielo/Jupiter)
• Liquidity/MC Ratio: 0.76 (19,800/26,000)
• Score: 0.114 (liquidity/MC * 0.15)
• Multiple pools: Pump AMM, Meteora, PumpSwap

💦 Degen take: Decent initial liquidity for a fresh memecoin. Not insta-rug tier, but can drain fast if whales bail.

🤖 Bot Influence

• Bot volume data: N/A (no breakdowns in sources)
• Snipers: 50+ detected in first blocks (see Dextools firstMakers)
• Sniper wallets: 2Pcch...z67x, GNrm...HEC, Amh9...ognr, etc.
• Score: 12.5 (assume 50% bot/sniper presence, 0.25 * 50)

🤖 Degen take: Sniper swarm on launch. If you’re aping now, you’re trading vs. bots and giga-degens.

🐳 Whale Confidence

• Top 10 Holders: ~22.5% of supply
• Unique buyers/sellers (24h): 828/640 (Cielo)
• Total 24h buy volume: $121,955
• Total 24h sell volume: $105,188
• Whale score: 0.2 (no direct whale buys data, fallback to ratio: 0.2)

🐳 Degen take: Heavy concentration – top wallets can nuke or moon this at will. Watch for sudden dumps.

👥 Holder Centralization

• Top 10 holder rate: 22.5% (GMGN/Jupiter)
• Score: 2.25 (0.225 * 0.1)
• 308 live holders, up from 240-294 earlier
• Bluechip owners: 1 (0.4%)

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Degen take: Centralized – whales and snipers dominate. Not a fair launch, but typical for Solana meme meta.

📢 Social Sentiment

• No X/Twitter, Telegram, or website officially linked
• 0 KOL tweets, 0 mention stats (no traction yet)
• Organic score: low (Jupiter)

📉 Degen take: Zero social presence so far – pure on-chain degen play, not a cult yet.

🔒 Security Flags

• ✅ Mint authority renounced
• ✅ Freeze authority renounced
• ✅ No honeypot detected
• ✅ No blacklist
• ✅ No taxes (buy/sell: 0%)
• ❌ Not open source (flagged by Dextools/GMGN)
• ✅ Burn status: burn
• Dev wallet: 7GhW...FH51 (11 tokens created, 0 balance here)

🛡️ Degen take: No obvious rug code, but not open source. Dev is a serial launcher (11 tokens). DYOR on their history.

🔥 Trading Heat

• 24h Volume: $227K–$302K (Cielo/DexCheck)
• 5m/1h/6h/24h Buys: 1,314–1,392
• 5m/1h/6h/24h Sells: 1,183–1,292
• Net buyers: 342 (Jupiter)
• Swaps (24h): ~2,509 (GMGN)
• Multiple pools: Pump AMM, Meteora, PumpSwap

🔥 Degen take: High trading activity – this is a live casino, but volume can vanish fast if whales dump.

🚩 Red Flags

• High price volatility (+104% to -49% swings in minutes)
• No official social channels or website
• Centralized holders/top 10 own >22%
• 50+ snipers at launch, bot activity likely high
• Dev is a serial launcher (11 tokens, 5171 on GMGN stat)
• Not open source

✅ Green Flags

• Mint & freeze authority renounced
• No taxes, blacklist, or honeypot code
• Decent initial liquidity ($19K+)
• Burn status: burn
• High trading volume for a fresh launch
• Liquidity/MC ratio reasonable for Solana meme meta

🧠 Degen Verdict

HIGH RISK / SPECULATIVE
COMMUNEOS is a pure Solana degen launch: high volatility, high liquidity churn, sniper/bot dominated, and no social traction yet. The dev has renounced mint/freeze and left 0 tokens in their wallet, but is a serial launcher with no open source code. Top 10 wallets control a big chunk, and the first blocks were full of snipers. If you ape, it's a casino – but that's the Solana meta. DYOR, set stops, and don't chase green candles.

🔮 AI Prediction

• Short Term (0-24h): High volatility, likely more pump/dump cycles. Expect snipers and bots to keep trading, but whales can nuke price at will.
• Mid Term (2-7d): If no social traction, likely slow bleed as early apes exit. If a cult forms, could see another pump.
• Long Term (7d+): Most likely fade unless a community forms or dev pushes social. Too early to call a cult.

👑 Top Snipers/Wallets

• 2Pcch...z67x – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_2Pcchxncfc1H15ynEdacc4XhvF15BYwUk2U7jui8Z67x
• GNrm...HEC – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_GNrmKZCxYyNiSUsjduwwPJzhed3LATjciiKVuSGrsHEC
• Amh9...ognr – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_Amh9P8Fb2PdoKQS15vVJFnxTAVwEXQCaGZkcVRQiognr
• BpiL...RSvc – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_BpiLGE5PucppHqcgcVTt7tHvejoXQnyEmojVxv8SRSvc
• CyaE...a54o – https://gmgn.ai/sol/address/rLkfkJiz_CyaE1VxvBrahnPWkqm5VsdCvyS2QmNht2UFrKJHga54o

Full sniper list and wallet DYOR: check Dextools or GMGN for top holders.

🧮 Risk Score Explained

• Volatility: abs(104.6%) × 0.3 = 31.4
• Liquidity Risk: 0.76 × 0.15 = 0.114
• Bot Influence: ~50% × 0.25 = 12.5
• Whale Confidence: 0.2 (est.)
• Holder Centralization: 0.225 × 0.1 = 2.25
• Total: 54.5
• Verdict: >40 = HIGH RISK (Casino, expect pumps & dumps, DYOR!)

🫡 CT, What’s the Move?

Are you aping, sniping, or fading $COMMUNEOS? Tag your squad, share this thread, and always DYOR before sending it!
Chart: https://gmgn.ai/sol/token/rLkfkJiz_DdVuejBZzyvxLun5Z8cm2iM4hhcyS3g9PRPVLUkafuk1
Contract: DdVuejBZzyvxLun5Z8cm2iM4hhcyS3g9PRPVLUkafuk1
Buy: https://t.me/GMGN_sol_bot?start=i_rLkfkJiz_c_DdVuejBZzyvxLun5Z8cm2iM4hhcyS3g9PRPVLUkafuk1
Scan: https://t.me/solaiscanbot?start=DdVuejBZzyvxLun5Z8cm2iM4hhcyS3g9PRPVLUkafuk1

Not financial advice. Degen responsibly. 🚀🦍