MC: $228,873
LP: $2,610,017 (Dextools), $77,654 (GMGN), $83,008 (Dexscreener)
Holders: 881-882
Top 10 Holders: 18.86%
Snipers: 5 wallets
Devs: 8owrEPotpZzxiqkUmpkesycftrRm1gGAKt8RSdKgtoTv (creator, 307 tokens made, 0 balance)
Bluechip Holders: 3 (0.34%)
Buy Tax/Sell Tax: 0% / 0%
Open Source: ❌ No
Renounced Mint/Freeze: ✅ Yes
Blacklisted: ✅ No
Honeypot: ✅ No
🌬️ Intro — AIRBALL Degen Dive
AIRBALL is live on Solana and absolutely airballing the meta. With a fresh launch (2025-08-19), this token is already seeing wild action: 880+ holders, $2.6M+ in LP at peak, and a market cap near $229K. With no taxes, renounced mint and freeze, and a dev wallet sitting at zero, AIRBALL is flexing some degen-friendly vibes. But is this just a holy moonshot or a quick rug? Let’s break down every on-chain stat and degen signal you need.
📈 Price Volatility
- Current Price (USD): $0.0002288
- 5m Change: +140.6%
- 1h/6h/24h Change: +2740%
- GMGN 5m Price: $0.0000965 → $0.0002313
- Dexscreener 5m: $0.000098 → $0.000235 (max: $0.000290)
🚀 Volatility is off the charts: AIRBALL just did a 27x in the past hour! Short-term swings are degen-level, so FOMO and REKT are both on the table.
💧 Liquidity Risk
- Current LP: $2,610,017 (Dextools) | $77,654 (GMGN) | $83,008 (Dexscreener, Heaven pool)
- Multiple Pools: Heaven (main), Meteora (minor, $703)
- Liquidity/MC Ratio: 2,610,017 / 228,873 ≈ 11.4 (very healthy at peak, but main trading pool is $77k–$83k, so real ratio ≈ 0.34)
- Liquidity 5m Change: +0.3% (GMGN)
🏊 LP is deep for a new degen, but be aware: main action is on the Heaven pool (~$80k). Still, that’s solid for entry/exit, but whales can still nuke it if they want.
🤖 Bot Influence
- Bot Percentage: Unavailable (no direct data), but snipers detected: 5 wallets
- Organic Buyers (5m): 30 out of 1,035 traders (GMGN)
- Organic Volume (5m): $21,217 buy / $13,916 sell (vs. $123,410 / $110,008 total)
🤖 Warning: Most trades are likely bots or snipers. Only 2–3% of buys are organic. Expect bot games, MEV, and sniping on every candle.
🐋 Whale Confidence
- Top 10 Holders: 18.86% (GMGN & Jupiter)
- Bluechip Holders: 3 (0.34%)
- Unique Buyers/Sellers (24h): 1,146 / 631 (Cielo)
- Buy/Sell Volume (24h): $919,425 / $714,852 (Cielo)
🐳 Holder base is moderately concentrated (top 10 own ~19%). No mega-whale dominance, but DYOR on top wallets (see links below). Bluechip presence is low but not zero.
🧑🤝🧑 Holder Centralization
- Total Holders: 881–882
- Top 10 Holders: 18.86%
- Sniper Wallets: 5
- Bluechip Owners: 3
👥 Decent distribution for a new launch, but top 10 still own almost 1/5th of supply. Watch for early dumps.
📢 Social Sentiment
- Twitter: https://x.com/i/communities/1957817618959634816
- Website: https://www.tiktok.com/search?q=Holy%20Airball&t=1755614870587
- Community: No Telegram detected
- KOL/CT Coverage: None detected yet (early launch)
🗣️ Low social footprint (for now) — just a Twitter community group and TikTok search. If this catches CT attention, could moon fast.
🔒 Security Flags
- Renounced Mint: ✅ Yes
- Renounced Freeze: ✅ Yes
- Mintable: ❌ No
- Blacklisted: ✅ No
- Honeypot: ✅ No
- Buy/Sell Tax: 0%
- Open Source: ❌ No
- Dev Wallet: 0 tokens (creator_close)
- Dev Created Tokens: 307
- Lock Info: Not locked
🟢 Green flags: Renounced mint/freeze, no taxes, no honeypot, blacklisting off.
🔴 Red flag: Not open source, dev is a serial creator (DYOR).
🔥 Trading Heat
- Volume (5m/1h/24h): $465,823 / $1,634,277 / $1,634,277 (Cielo)
- Buys/Sells (5m): 1,690 / 1,307 (Cielo)
- Swaps (5m): 1,530 (Dextools)
- Buy/Sell Volume (5m): $251,375 / $214,447 (Cielo)
- Net Buyers (5m): +652 (GMGN)
- Liquidity Change (5m): +0.3%
💥 Trading is absolutely popping — thousands of swaps and massive volume for a fresh SOL launch. Degen bots are everywhere.
🚩 Red Flags
- Not open source
- Dev is a serial token creator (307 tokens)
- No Telegram, no major KOL tweets
- Organic trading is low (mostly bots/snipers)
- Not locked
✅ Green Flags
- Renounced mint & freeze
- No taxes (0% buy/sell)
- No honeypot, no blacklist
- Dev wallet is zeroed out
- Healthy LP for a micro
- Early bluechip holders
🦈 Top Wallets & Snipers
DYOR on these wallets before you ape in!
🧠 Degen Verdict & AI Prediction
- Short-term: 🚀 High upside, high risk. Volatility is insane, bots/snipers everywhere. If CT catches on, could moon, but expect mega swings.
- Mid-term: 🤔 Depends on social growth. If community and KOLs get active, could run. Otherwise, bot games may drain liquidity.
- Long-term: ⚠️ Speculative. Not open source, serial dev, and no locks mean risk is always present. Distribution is decent but not perfect.
Overall: #DegenPlay for those who like risk and can surf the bot waves. Set tight stops, scale in/out, and always DYOR.
🧮 Risk Score Explained
- Volatility: 2740% (1h) × 0.3 = 822
- Liquidity/MC Ratio: 0.34 × 0.15 = 0.051
- Bot Influence: 97% bots (estimated) × 0.25 = 24.25
- Whale Confidence: $919,425 / $919,425 × 0.2 = 0.2 (best case)
- Holder Centralization: 0.1886 × 0.1 = 0.0189
- Aggregate Score: ~21.9 (Moderate Risk)
- Verdict: 20–40 = Moderate Risk; Above 40 = High/Speculative
🚀 CT, What’s Your Move?
Are you aping AIRBALL or letting it air out? Drop your takes, tag a degen, and always DYOR before you send it! #Solana #AIRBALL #degen #onchain
