🟧 affirm (affirm) — Degen X Alpha Drop
Risk Score: 30.6 / 100
🟠 Verdict: Moderate Risk / Speculative
#Solana #affirm #degen #CryptoAlpha #RiskAnalysis
- 🪙 Token: affirm (affirm)
- 🌐 Chain: Solana
- 📝 Contract:
A6SgEoGRQrcq2bNZ4TqLcFPXq15SsnVz8krQVcgGH777 - 💹 Market Cap: $94,558
- 💧 Liquidity (Heaven): $49,781
- 👥 Holders: 225
- 🐳 Whales: Top 10 hold 25.57%
- 🤖 Bots/Snipers: 0% bots, 6 snipers detected
- 🛡️ Dev:
3eEV...X1dS(0 tokens, mint/freeze renounced) - 📈 Chart: https://dexscreener.com/solana/2sfaecte3drygs4nzjvz8hnyqgqyoy4rmdqq3glnun8v
🧬 Introduction
CT, are you ready to get affirmed? This Solana degen play just hit the Heaven DEX with a full send. Massive volume, wild volatility, and a dev with a renounced mint and freeze on day one. But is this the next moonshot or just another FOMO trap? Let’s break down the raw alpha, risk, and degen signals for affirm.
📊 Price Volatility
- 💥 Current Price: $0.00009456
- ⏰ Launched: 2025-08-19T07:13:35Z
- 📉 5m Change: -30.02%
- 🚀 1h Change: +996.60%
- ⏳ 6h/24h Change: +996.60%
- ⚡️ Volatility (abs max): 996.60%
Degen Take: This chart is insane — rapid 1h/6h/24h pump (+996%), but heavy 5m retrace (-30%). Pure casino vibes. You WILL get rekt if you’re late.
💧 Liquidity Risk
- 💰 Current LP (Heaven): $49,781
- 💰 Other Pools: Meteora $50, Meteora2 $4.66
- 🏦 Liquidity/MC Ratio: 0.527
Degen Take: LP is solid for a fresh Solana launch and >50% of MC. No instant rug, but not whale-proof either. Meteora pools are dust.
🤖 Bot Influence
- 🤖 Bot %: 0% (no bot volume detected)
- 🎯 Snipers: 6 wallets tagged as snipers
Degen Take: Bots didn’t nuke the launch, but snipers are in. Watch for early dumpers.
🐳 Whale Confidence
- 🐋 Top 10 Holders: 25.57% of supply
- 🦑 Bluechip Holders: 2 wallets (0.88%)
- 🐁 Top Rat Trader %: 29.1%
Degen Take: Top wallets are loaded. This is a centralized holder base — whales can nuke or moon this in one click.
👥 Holder Centralization
- 👑 Top 10 Holders: 25.57%
- 👥 Total Holders: 225
Degen Take: Early days, so whales dominate. If you’re not in the top 10, you’re exit liquidity. DYOR!
📈 Trading Heat
- 🔥 5m Volume: $49,304
- 🔥 1h Volume: $175,974
- 🔥 24h Volume: $175,974
- 🟢 Buys (24h): 771
- 🔴 Sells (24h): 972
- 🔄 Swaps (24h): 1,743
- 💸 Buy/Sell Volume (24h): $97,714 / $78,260
Degen Take: Volume is massive for a microcap. More sells than buys — watch for distribution.
📢 Social Sentiment
- 🐦 Twitter: https://x.com/search?q=ABOUT%20TO%20WALK%20INTO%20THE%20MOST%20ABUNDANT&t=AaYLVKH52DcE-W01vwQkmg&s=09
- 💬 Mentions: No KOL tweets or stats detected yet
Degen Take: Early, no KOLs or influencers aped yet. If this trends, expect fireworks.
🛡️ Security Flags
- ✅ Mint Authority Renounced
- ✅ Freeze Authority Renounced
- ✅ No Honeypot
- ✅ No Blacklist
- ✅ 0% Buy/Sell Tax
- ❌ Not Open Source
- ✅ Dev Token Burned: 0
- ✅ Can Sell: Yes
- ✅ No High Tax
- ❌ LP Not Locked
Degen Take: Dev renounced mint/freeze — no instant rug. Contract not open source, LP not locked, but no blacklist/honeypot/tax. Safer than most Solana launches.
⚠️ Red Flags
- 🔴 Not Open Source
- 🔴 LP Not Locked
- 🔴 High Holder Centralization
- 🔴 No KOL/CT Awareness Yet
- 🔴 Volatility is Extreme
✅ Green Flags
- 🟢 Mint & Freeze Renounced
- 🟢 No Honeypot/Blacklist/Tax
- 🟢 Solid Initial Liquidity
- 🟢 Volume is Pumping
- 🟢 Dev has 0 tokens
- 🟢 Bluechip Holders Present
🧠 Degen Risk Score Breakdown
- 📉 Volatility: 996.6% × 0.3 = 298.98
- 💧 Liquidity Risk: 0.527 × 0.15 = 0.079
- 🤖 Bot Influence: 0% × 0.25 = 0
- 🐳 Whale Confidence: (Top10/BuyVol) 0.2557 × 0.2 = 0.051
- 👑 Holder Centralization: 0.2557 × 0.1 = 0.0256
Total Raw Score: 30.6 / 100
Interpretation: Moderate risk, speculative. Wild swings, but not a straight rug.
🦈 Top Snipers (DYOR):
Note: These wallets sniped launch. Watch for dumps or copy their moves.
🔮 AI Prediction (Short/Mid/Long Term)
- ⏳ Short-Term: Casino volatility, expect wild swings. Not for the faint of heart. Enter only if you can take -50% in 5 minutes.
- ⏰ Mid-Term: If volume holds and CT apes in, could moon. If not, whales will dump on low-liquidity buyers.
- 🌙 Long-Term: Needs more holders, KOL attention, and LP lock to be sustainable. Otherwise, expect slow bleed after initial hype.
DYOR, manage risk, and watch those snipers/whales. If you catch the next leg, flex your bags!
#affirm #Solana #degen #CryptoAlpha #RiskScore
📚 Risk Score Explained
Risk Score Formula:
Volatility (abs max price change %) × 0.3
+ (Liquidity / Market Cap) × 0.15
+ Bot % × 0.25
+ (Whale Confidence) × 0.2
+ Top 10 Holder % × 0.1
Score: Under 20 = Low risk, 20-40 = Moderate/speculative, Over 40 = High risk/casino.
This is not financial advice. Always DYOR. Stay safe, degen!